All Outputs (2)

History matching of a complex epidemiological model of human immunodeficiency virus transmission by using variance emulation (2016)
Journal Article
Andrianakis, I., Vernon, I., McCreesh, N., McKinley, T., Oakley, J., Nsubuga, R., …White, R. (2017). History matching of a complex epidemiological model of human immunodeficiency virus transmission by using variance emulation. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 66(4), 717-740. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12198

Complex stochastic models are commonplace in epidemiology, but their utility depends on their calibration to empirical data. History matching is a (pre)calibration method that has been applied successfully to complex deterministic models. In this wor... Read More about History matching of a complex epidemiological model of human immunodeficiency virus transmission by using variance emulation.

Bayesian Framework for Power Network Planning Under Uncertainty (2016)
Journal Article
Lawson, A., Goldstein, M., & Dent, C. (2016). Bayesian Framework for Power Network Planning Under Uncertainty. Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, 7, 47-57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.segan.2016.05.003

Effective transmission expansion planning is necessary to ensure a power system can satisfy all demand both reliably and economically. However, at the time reinforcement decisions are made many elements of the future system background are uncertain,... Read More about Bayesian Framework for Power Network Planning Under Uncertainty.