Skip to main content

Research Repository

Advanced Search

Outputs (3)

Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems (2006)
Journal Article
Goldstein, M., & Rougier, J. (2006). Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 1132-1143. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214506000000203

A calibration-based approach is developed for predicting the behavior of a physical system that is modeled by a computer simulator. The approach is based on Bayes linear adjustment using both system observations and evaluations of the simulator at pa... Read More about Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems.

Trade-off sensitive experimental design: a multicriterion, decision theoretic, Bayes linear approach (2006)
Journal Article
Farrow, M., & Goldstein, M. (2006). Trade-off sensitive experimental design: a multicriterion, decision theoretic, Bayes linear approach. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 136(2), 498-526. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2004.07.008

We show how mutually utility independent hierarchies, which weigh the various costs of an experiment against benefits expressed through a mixed Bayes linear utility representing the potential gains in knowledge from the experiment, provide a flexible... Read More about Trade-off sensitive experimental design: a multicriterion, decision theoretic, Bayes linear approach.