Bayesian uncertainty analysis for complex physical systems modelled by computer simulators with applications to tipping points
(2015)
Journal Article
Caiado, C., & Goldstein, M. (2015). Bayesian uncertainty analysis for complex physical systems modelled by computer simulators with applications to tipping points. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 26(1-3), 123-136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2015.02.006
In this paper we present and illustrate basic Bayesian techniques for the uncertainty analysis of complex physical systems modelled by computer simulators. We focus on emulation and history matching and also discuss the treatment of observational err... Read More about Bayesian uncertainty analysis for complex physical systems modelled by computer simulators with applications to tipping points.