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A hysteretic hydraulic constitutive model for unsaturated soils and application to capillary barrier systems (2020)
Journal Article
Scarfone, R., Wheeler, S. J., & Lloret-Cabot, M. (2022). A hysteretic hydraulic constitutive model for unsaturated soils and application to capillary barrier systems. Geomechanics for Energy and the Environment, 30, Article 100224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gete.2020.100224

Unsaturated soils exhibit water retention hysteresis, with different water retention behaviour during drying and wetting paths. Water retention hysteresis has often been modelled using expressions for the main drying and main wetting water retention... Read More about A hysteretic hydraulic constitutive model for unsaturated soils and application to capillary barrier systems.

Resolvable and near-epistemic uncertainty in stated preference for olive oil: an empirical exploration (2020)
Journal Article
Scarpa, R., Bazzani, C., Begalli, D., & Capitello, R. (2021). Resolvable and near-epistemic uncertainty in stated preference for olive oil: an empirical exploration. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72(2), 335-369. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12398

We elicit subjective probabilities of choice using a choice experiment designed to study preferences of German consumers for high quality Italian extra‐virgin olive oils. We develop an econometric framework to address the issues of resolvable and nea... Read More about Resolvable and near-epistemic uncertainty in stated preference for olive oil: an empirical exploration.

Spaces of Disaster (2020)
Book Chapter
Oven, K., Ruszczyk, H. A., & Rigg, J. (2020). Spaces of Disaster. In H. F. Wilson, & J. Darling (Eds.), Research Ethics for Human Geography (280-288). SAGE Publications

Do city dwellers care about peri-urban land use? The case of environment-friendly agriculture around Milan (2020)
Journal Article
Arata, L., Guastella, G., Pareglio, S., Scarpa, R., & Sckokai, P. (2021). Do city dwellers care about peri-urban land use? The case of environment-friendly agriculture around Milan. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 64(6), 1044-1066. https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2020.1799765

Undeveloped land adjacent to urban areas has a strong potential to generate high amenity values to urban dwellers via the adoption of environment-friendly agricultural practices. Yet, there is a lack of specific policy measures tailored to unlock suc... Read More about Do city dwellers care about peri-urban land use? The case of environment-friendly agriculture around Milan.

Logit Mixed Logit Under Asymmetry and Multimodality of WTP: a Monte Carlo Evaluation (2020)
Journal Article
Scarpa, R., Franceschinis, C., & Thiene, M. (2021). Logit Mixed Logit Under Asymmetry and Multimodality of WTP: a Monte Carlo Evaluation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 103(2), 643-662. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12122

The logit‐mixed logit (LML) model advances choice modeling by generalizing previous parametric and semi‐nonparametric specifications and allowing retrieval of flexible taste distributions. Using standard operating conditions in the field, we report r... Read More about Logit Mixed Logit Under Asymmetry and Multimodality of WTP: a Monte Carlo Evaluation.

Merapi multiple: Protection around Yogyakarta’s celebrity volcano through masks, dreams, and seismographs (2020)
Journal Article
Schwartz-Marin, E., Merli, C., Rachmawati, L., Horwell, C., & Nugroho, F. (2022). Merapi multiple: Protection around Yogyakarta’s celebrity volcano through masks, dreams, and seismographs. History and Anthropology, 33(5), 588-610. https://doi.org/10.1080/02757206.2020.1799788

Gunung Merapi (Mountain of Fire) is the guardian of a cosmogonic-sacred landscape, and one of the most dangerous volcanoes in the world. Its eruptions are well studied, however, the relationships among ritual, science, protection and grassroots disas... Read More about Merapi multiple: Protection around Yogyakarta’s celebrity volcano through masks, dreams, and seismographs.

Forecasting and planning during a pandemic: COVID-19 growth rates, supply chain disruptions, and governmental decisions (2020)
Journal Article
Nikolopoulos, K., Punia, S., Schäfers, A., Tsinopoulos, C., & Vasilakis, C. (2020). Forecasting and planning during a pandemic: COVID-19 growth rates, supply chain disruptions, and governmental decisions. European Journal of Operational Research, 290(1), 99-115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.08.001

Policymakers during 1COVID-19 operate in uncharted 2territory and must make tough decisions. Operational Research - the ubiquitous ‘science of better’ - plays a vital role in supporting this decision-making process. To that end, using data from the U... Read More about Forecasting and planning during a pandemic: COVID-19 growth rates, supply chain disruptions, and governmental decisions.

Empowering Women through Participatory Action Research in Community-Based Disaster Risk Reduction Efforts (2020)
Journal Article
Ruszczyk, H., Upadhyay, B., Kwong, Y., Khanal, O., Bracken, L., Pandit, S., & Bastola, R. (2020). Empowering Women through Participatory Action Research in Community-Based Disaster Risk Reduction Efforts. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 51, Article 101763. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101763

The role of women in community-based disaster risk reduction efforts (CBDRR) is an area of limited academic research and continues to be a thorny issue for policy and practice. This research paper describes a comparative case study of participatory a... Read More about Empowering Women through Participatory Action Research in Community-Based Disaster Risk Reduction Efforts.

Cosmogenic exposure dating reveals limited long-term variability in erosion of a rocky coastline (2020)
Journal Article
Swirad, Z., Rosser, N., Brain, M., Rood, D., Hurst, M., Wilcken, K., & Barlow, J. (2020). Cosmogenic exposure dating reveals limited long-term variability in erosion of a rocky coastline. Nature Communications, 11, Article 3804. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17611-9

Predicted sea-level rise and increased storminess are anticipated to lead to increases in coastal erosion. However, assessing if and how rocky coasts will respond to changes in marine conditions is difficult due to current limitations of monitoring a... Read More about Cosmogenic exposure dating reveals limited long-term variability in erosion of a rocky coastline.

Conceptual Hydraulic Conductivity Model for Unsaturated Soils at Low Degree of Saturation and Its Application to the Study of Capillary Barrier Systems (2020)
Journal Article
Scarfone, R., Wheeler, S. J., & Lloret-Cabot, M. (2020). Conceptual Hydraulic Conductivity Model for Unsaturated Soils at Low Degree of Saturation and Its Application to the Study of Capillary Barrier Systems. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 146(10), Article 04020106. https://doi.org/10.1061/%28asce%29gt.1943-5606.0002357

Accurate modeling and prediction of the variation of the hydraulic conductivity of unsaturated soils at a very low degree of saturation has important implications in various engineering problems. Physical processes underlying the hydraulic behavior o... Read More about Conceptual Hydraulic Conductivity Model for Unsaturated Soils at Low Degree of Saturation and Its Application to the Study of Capillary Barrier Systems.

Emergent characteristics of rockfall inventories captured at a regional scale (2020)
Journal Article
Benjamin, J., Rosser, N., & Brain, M. (2020). Emergent characteristics of rockfall inventories captured at a regional scale. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 45(12), 2773-2787. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.4929

High-resolution rockfall inventories captured at a regional scale are scarce. This is partly owing to difficulties in measuring the range of possible rockfall volumes with sufficient accuracy and completeness, and at a scale exceeding the influence o... Read More about Emergent characteristics of rockfall inventories captured at a regional scale.

An agent-based model that simulates the spatio-temporal dynamics of sources and transfer mechanisms contributing faecal indicator organisms to streams. Part 1: Background and model description (2020)
Journal Article
Neill, A. J., Tetzlaff, D., Strachan, N. J., Hough, R. L., Avery, L. M., Kuppel, S., …Soulsby, C. (2020). An agent-based model that simulates the spatio-temporal dynamics of sources and transfer mechanisms contributing faecal indicator organisms to streams. Part 1: Background and model description. Journal of Environmental Management, 270, Article 110903. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110903

An agent-based model that simulates the spatio-temporal dynamics of sources and transfer mechanisms contributing faecal indicator organisms to streams. Part 2: Application to a small agricultural catchment (2020)
Journal Article
Neill, A. J., Tetzlaff, D., Strachan, N. J., Hough, R. L., Avery, L. M., Maneta, M. P., & Soulsby, C. (2020). An agent-based model that simulates the spatio-temporal dynamics of sources and transfer mechanisms contributing faecal indicator organisms to streams. Part 2: Application to a small agricultural catchment. Journal of Environmental Management, 270, Article 110905. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110905

Non-Negativity of a Quadratic form with Applications to Panel Data Estimation, Forecasting and Optimization (2020)
Journal Article
Pochiraju, B., Seshadri, S., Thomakos, D. D., & Nikolopoulos, K. (2020). Non-Negativity of a Quadratic form with Applications to Panel Data Estimation, Forecasting and Optimization. Stats, 3(3), 185-202. https://doi.org/10.3390/stats3030015

For a symmetric matrix B, we determine the class of Q such that QtBQ is non-negative definite and apply it to panel data estimation and forecasting: the Hausman test for testing the endogeneity of the random effects in panel data models. We show that... Read More about Non-Negativity of a Quadratic form with Applications to Panel Data Estimation, Forecasting and Optimization.

Health Impact Assessment of volcanic ash inhalation: A comparison with outdoor air pollution methods (2020)
Journal Article
Mueller, W., Cowie, H., Horwell, C., Hurley, F., & Baxter, P. (2020). Health Impact Assessment of volcanic ash inhalation: A comparison with outdoor air pollution methods. Geohealth, 4(7), Article e2020GH000256. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gh000256

This paper critically appraises the extrapolation of concentration‐response functions (CRFs) for fine and coarse particulate matter, PM2.5 and PM10 respectively, used in outdoor air pollution Health Impact Assessment (HIA) studies to assess the exten... Read More about Health Impact Assessment of volcanic ash inhalation: A comparison with outdoor air pollution methods.

Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification (2020)
Journal Article
Katsagounos, I., Thomakos, D. D., Litsiou, K., & Nikolopoulos, K. (2021). Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification. European Journal of Operational Research, 289(1), 107-117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.06.042

Superforecasting has drawn the attention of academics - despite earlier contradictory findings in the literature, arguing that humans can consistently and successfully forecast over long periods. It has also enthused practitioners, due to the major i... Read More about Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification.