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Two-State Imprecise Markov Chains for Statistical Modelling of Two-State Non-Markovian Processes (2019)
Conference Proceeding
Troffaes, M. C., Krak, T., & Bains, H. (2019). Two-State Imprecise Markov Chains for Statistical Modelling of Two-State Non-Markovian Processes. In J. De Bock, C. P. de Campos, G. de Cooman, E. Quaeghebeur, & G. Wheeler (Eds.), Proceedings of the Eleventh International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities : Theories and Applications (394-403)

This paper proposes a method for fitting a two-state imprecise Markov chain to time series data from a twostate non-Markovian process. Such non-Markovian processes are common in practical applications. We focus on how to fit modelling parameters base... Read More about Two-State Imprecise Markov Chains for Statistical Modelling of Two-State Non-Markovian Processes.

Contingency Ranking in Power Systems via Reliability Rates (2018)
Conference Proceeding
Cervantes, C., Kazemtabrizi, B., & Troffaes, M. (2018). Contingency Ranking in Power Systems via Reliability Rates. In 2018 IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering and 2018 IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Europe (EEEIC / I&CPS Europe) : 12-15 June, 2018, Palermo, Italy . Conference proceedings. https://doi.org/10.1109/eeeic.2018.8493853

This paper shows the scope of probabilistic contingency ranking algorithms when applied to transmission systems with high levels of renewable integration. Using our fast screening contingency ranking algorithm, a performance index is calculated throu... Read More about Contingency Ranking in Power Systems via Reliability Rates.

Qualitative comparison of techniques for evaluating performance of short term power system reliability management (2017)
Conference Proceeding
Heylen, E., Deconinck, G., Van Hertem, D., Troffaes, M. C., & Kazemtabrizi, B. (2017). Qualitative comparison of techniques for evaluating performance of short term power system reliability management. In 2017 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference Europe (ISGT-Europe) : Torino, Italy, 26-29 September 2017 : conference proceedings (333-339). https://doi.org/10.1109/isgteurope.2017.8260148

Adequate performance evaluation of different short term reliability management approaches and criteria is crucial in order to convince transmission system operators to substitute or complement the currently used N-1 criterion with more efficient, alt... Read More about Qualitative comparison of techniques for evaluating performance of short term power system reliability management.

Impact of high wind penetration on variability of unserved energy in power system adequacy (2016)
Conference Proceeding
Sheehy, S., Edwards, G., Dent, C., Kazemtabrizi, B., Troffaes, M., & Tindemans, S. (2016). Impact of high wind penetration on variability of unserved energy in power system adequacy. In 2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) : Beijing, China, 16-20 October 2016 ; proceedings (1-6). https://doi.org/10.1109/pmaps.2016.7764199

This paper presents results on variability of out-turn shortfalls about the expected value indices which are usually presented in resource adequacy studies, for a range of Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) levels and installed wind capacities in a test... Read More about Impact of high wind penetration on variability of unserved energy in power system adequacy.