The Effects of Forecasts on the Accuracy and Precision of Expectations (2024)
Journal Article
Barnfield, M., Phillips, J., Stoeckel, F., Lyons, B., Szewach, P., Thompson, J., Stöckli, S., Mérola, V., & Reifler, J. (in press). The Effects of Forecasts on the Accuracy and Precision of Expectations. Public Opinion Quarterly,

Quantitative forecasts have become increasingly prominent as tools for aiding public understanding of socio-political trends. But how much, and what, do people learn from quantitative forecasts? In this note, we showthrough a pre-registered survey ex... Read More about The Effects of Forecasts on the Accuracy and Precision of Expectations.