We’ll never have a model of an AI major-general: Artificial Intelligence, command decisions, and kitsch visions of war

Hunter, Cameron; Bowen, Bleddyn E.

Abstract

Military AI optimists predict future AI assisting or making command decisions. We instead argue that, at a fundamental level, these predictions are dangerously wrong. The nature of war demands decisions based on abductive logic, whilst machine learning (or ‘narrow AI’) relies on inductive logic. The two forms of logic are not interchangeable, and therefore AI’s limited utility in command – both tactical and strategic – is not something that can be solved by more data or more computing power. Many defence and government leaders are therefore proceeding with a false view of the nature of AI and of war itself.

Citation

Hunter, C., & Bowen, B. E. (2024). We’ll never have a model of an AI major-general: Artificial Intelligence, command decisions, and kitsch visions of war. Journal of Strategic Studies, 47(1), 116-146. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2023.2241648

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Jul 24, 2023
• Online Publication Date: Aug 7, 2023
• Publication Date: Jan 2, 2024
• Deposit Date: Jan 20, 2025
• Journal: Journal of Strategic Studies
• Print ISSN: 0140-2390
• Electronic ISSN: 1743-937X
• Publisher: Taylor and Francis Group
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 47
• Issue: 1
• Pages: 116-146
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2023.2241648
• Public URL: https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/3342970