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Mitigating financial fragility with Continuous Workout Mortgages.

Ebrahim, Muhammed-Shahid; Shiller, Robert; Wojakowski, Rafal; Shackleton, Mark

Authors

Robert Shiller

Rafal Wojakowski

Mark Shackleton



Abstract

This paper models Continuous Workout Mortgages (CWMs) in an economic environment with refinancings and prepayments. CWMs are home loans whose balance and payments are indexed using a market-observable house price index of the pertaining locality. Our main results include: (a) explicit modelling of repayment and interest-only CWMs; (b) closed form formula for mortgage payment and mortgage balance of a repayment CWM; (c) a closed form formula for the actuarially fair mortgage rate of an interest-only CWM. For repayment CWMs we extend our analysis to include two negotiable parameters: adjustable “workout proportion” and adjustable “workout threshold.” These results are of importance as they not only help in the understanding of the mechanics of CWMs and estimating key contract parameters, but they also provide insight on how to enhance the resilience of the financial architecture and mitigate systemic risk.

Citation

Ebrahim, M., Shiller, R., Wojakowski, R., & Shackleton, M. (2013). Mitigating financial fragility with Continuous Workout Mortgages. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 85, 269-285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2012.04.010

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date 2013-01
Deposit Date Sep 22, 2014
Journal Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Print ISSN 0167-2681
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 85
Pages 269-285
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2012.04.010
Public URL https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1453789