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Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution modelling and traits based approaches.

Willis, S.G.; Foden, W.; Baker, D.J.; Belle, E.; Burgess, N.D.; Carr, J.A.; Doswald, N.; Garcia, R.A.; Hartley, A.; Hof, C.; Newbold, T.; Rahbek, C.; Smith, R.J.; Visconti, P.; Young, B.; Butchart, S.H.M.

Authors

W. Foden

D.J. Baker

E. Belle

N.D. Burgess

J.A. Carr

N. Doswald

R.A. Garcia

A. Hartley

C. Hof

T. Newbold

C. Rahbek

R.J. Smith

P. Visconti

B. Young

S.H.M. Butchart



Abstract

To accommodate climate-driven changes in biological communities, conservation plans are increasingly making use of models to predict species’ responses to climate change. To date, species distribution models have been the most commonly used approach for assessing species’ vulnerability to climate change. Biological trait-based approaches, which have emerged recently, and which include consideration of species’ sensitivity and adaptive capacity, provide alternative and potentially conflicting vulnerability assessments and present conservation practitioners and planners with difficult choices. Here we discuss the differing objectives and strengths of the approaches, and provide guidance to conservation practitioners for their application. We outline an integrative methodological framework for assessing climate change impacts on species that uses both traditional species distribution modelling approaches and biological trait-based assessments. We show how these models can be used conceptually as inputs to guide conservation monitoring and planning.

Citation

Willis, S., Foden, W., Baker, D., Belle, E., Burgess, N., Carr, J., …Butchart, S. (2015). Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution modelling and traits based approaches. Biological Conservation, 190, 167-178. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date May 1, 2015
Online Publication Date Jun 19, 2015
Publication Date 2015-10
Deposit Date Jun 1, 2015
Journal Biological Conservation
Print ISSN 0006-3207
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 190
Pages 167-178
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001