A Note on the Temporal Sure Preference Principle and the Updating of Lower Previsions

Troffaes, Matthias C.M.; Goldstein, Michael

Abstract

This paper reviews the temporal sure preference principle as a basis for inference over time. We reformulate the principle in terms of desirability, and explore its implications for lower previsions. We report some initial results. We also discuss some of the technical difficulties encountered.

Citation

Troffaes, M. C., & Goldstein, M. (2013, July). A Note on the Temporal Sure Preference Principle and the Updating of Lower Previsions. Presented at ISIPTA'13: Proceedings of the Eighth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, Compiegne, France

• Presentation Conference Type: Conference Paper (published)
• Conference Name: ISIPTA'13: Proceedings of the Eighth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications
• Publication Date: Jul 5, 2013
• Deposit Date: May 29, 2013
• Publicly Available Date: Oct 22, 2014
• Pages: 319-328
• Book Title: ISIPTA ’13 : proceedings of the eighth international symposium on imprecise probability : theories and applications July 2-5 2013, Compiègne, France.
• Keywords: Updating, Inference, Temporal coherence, Desirability, Lower prevision.
• Public URL: https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1156832
• Publisher URL: http://www.sipta.org/isipta13/index.php?id=paper&paper=032.html