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Learning Uncertainty of Wind Speed Forecasting Using a Fuzzy Multiplexer of Gaussian Processes

Alamaniotis, M.; Karagiannis, G.

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Authors

M. Alamaniotis



Abstract

The smart power systems of the future will be able to accommodate wind power at a maximum efficiency by utilizing available information. For instance, information pertained to wind speed is essential in forecasting the overall amount of power generated by wind farms. Information is used to offset the inherent stochasticity of wind power and improve wind speed forecasting precision. In this work, an intelligent methodology for quantifying the uncertainty of wind speed pertained to forecasting is introduced. The introduced methodology adopts a set of Gaussian processes to assemble a model of the uncertainty of the forecasted speed. Results are taken on a set of real-world wind speed data.

Citation

Alamaniotis, M., & Karagiannis, G. (2018). Learning Uncertainty of Wind Speed Forecasting Using a Fuzzy Multiplexer of Gaussian Processes. . https://doi.org/10.1049/cp.2018.1888

Presentation Conference Type Conference Paper (Published)
Conference Name Mediterranean Conference on Power Generation, Transmission, Distribution and Energy Conversion (MEDPOWER 2018)
Start Date Nov 12, 2018
End Date Nov 15, 2018
Publication Date 2018
Deposit Date Jan 6, 2021
Publicly Available Date Aug 12, 2021
Publisher IET
ISBN 9781839531330
DOI https://doi.org/10.1049/cp.2018.1888
Public URL https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1139912

Files

Accepted Conference Proceeding (796 Kb)
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Copyright Statement
This is a preprint of a chapter accepted by Mediterranean Conference on Power Generation, Transmission, Distribution and Energy Conversion (MEDPOWER 2018) and is subject to Institution of Engineering and Technology Copyright. When the final version is published, the copy of record will be available at IET Digital Library: https://doi.org/10.1049/cp.2018.1888





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