Outputs (3)

Combining national and constituency polling for forecasting (2015)
Journal Article
Hanretty, C., Lauderdale, B. E., & Vivyan, N. (2016). Combining national and constituency polling for forecasting. Electoral Studies, 41, 239-243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.11.019

We describe a method for forecasting British general elections by combining national and constituency polling. We reconcile national and constituency estimates through a new swing model.

House or Home? Constituent preferences over legislator effort allocation (2015)
Journal Article
Vivyan, N., & Wagner, M. (2016). House or Home? Constituent preferences over legislator effort allocation. European Journal of Political Research, 55(1), 81-99. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12119

In many political systems legislators face a fundamental trade-off between allocating effort to constituency service and to national policy-making activities, respectively. How do voters want their elected representatives to solve this trade-off? Thi... Read More about House or Home? Constituent preferences over legislator effort allocation.

What do voters want from their local MP? (2015)
Journal Article
Vivyan, N., & Wagner, M. (2015). What do voters want from their local MP?. The Political Quarterly, 86(1), 33-40. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923x.12128

This article summarises the findings from a study of what constituents want from their local Member of Parliament.1 We make use of a survey technique known as conjoint analysis, wherein we present a national sample of British voters with profiles of... Read More about What do voters want from their local MP?.