Outputs (45)

Voting retrospectively: Critical junctures and party identification (2019)
Journal Article
Arbatli, C. E., & Gomtsyan, D. (2019). Voting retrospectively: Critical junctures and party identification. European Economic Review, 119, 356-390. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.08.005

This paper provides evidence for retrospective voting in the very long-term by exploiting a unique quasi-natural experiment of history. We trace the origins of party identification to a critical juncture in the local history of Sasun, a mountainous r... Read More about Voting retrospectively: Critical junctures and party identification.

The International Determinants of Military Coup Behavior (2017)
Other
Arbatli, E., & Arbatli, C. E. (2017). The International Determinants of Military Coup Behavior

Why do coups d’état happen? Although many studies have investigated this question, they pay relatively little attention to the international causes and ramifications of coups. Especially, empirical studies on the external determinants of coup risk an... Read More about The International Determinants of Military Coup Behavior.

Information Manipulation in Election Campaigns (2016)
Journal Article
Aköz, K. K., & Arbatli, C. E. (2016). Information Manipulation in Election Campaigns. Economics and Politics, 28(2), 181-215. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecpo.12076

We provide a game-theoretical model of manipulative election campaigns with two political candidates and a Bayesian voter. The latter is uncertain about how good the candidates are. Candidates take unobservable, costly actions to manipulate voter's o... Read More about Information Manipulation in Election Campaigns.

Trade and income growth in the Ottoman Empire: assessing the role of volatility and trend growth in terms of trade (2015)
Journal Article
Arbatli, C. E. (2016). Trade and income growth in the Ottoman Empire: assessing the role of volatility and trend growth in terms of trade. Eurasian Economic Review, 6(2), 173-194. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-015-0044-3

This paper focuses on the Ottoman economy from the beginning of the nineteenth century until the early twentieth century when the first wave of economic globalization coupled with the sweeping forces of rapid industrialization in the West led to majo... Read More about Trade and income growth in the Ottoman Empire: assessing the role of volatility and trend growth in terms of trade.

External threats and political survival: Can dispute involvement deter coup attempts? (2014)
Journal Article
Arbatli, C. E., & Arbatli, E. (2016). External threats and political survival: Can dispute involvement deter coup attempts?. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 33(2), 115-152. https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894214545956

Diversionary war theory holds that insecure leaders are more likely to pursue aggressive foreign policies than their more secure counterparts. This hypothesis rests on the premise that interstate dispute involvement helps leaders deter potential chal... Read More about External threats and political survival: Can dispute involvement deter coup attempts?.