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Brian Huntley's Outputs (11)

Predicting Future European Breeding Distributions of British Seabird Species under Climate Change and Unlimited/No Dispersal Scenarios (2015)
Journal Article
Russell, D., Wanless, S., Collingham, Y., Huntley, B., & Hamer, K. (2015). Predicting Future European Breeding Distributions of British Seabird Species under Climate Change and Unlimited/No Dispersal Scenarios. Diversity, 7(4), 342-359. https://doi.org/10.3390/d7040342

Understanding which traits make species vulnerable to climatic change and predicting future distributions permits conservation efforts to be focused on the most vulnerable species and the most appropriate sites. Here, we combine climate envelope mode... Read More about Predicting Future European Breeding Distributions of British Seabird Species under Climate Change and Unlimited/No Dispersal Scenarios.

Quantifying landscape-level methane fluxes in subarctic Finland using a multi-scale approach (2015)
Journal Article
Hartley, I., Hill, T., Wade, T., Clement, R., Moncrieff, J., Prieto-Blanco, A., …Baxter, R. (2015). Quantifying landscape-level methane fluxes in subarctic Finland using a multi-scale approach. Global Change Biology, 21(10), 3712-3725. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12975

Quantifying landscape-scale methane (CH4) fluxes from boreal and arctic regions, and determining how they are controlled, is critical for predicting the magnitude of any CH4 emission feedback to climate change. Furthermore, there remains uncertainty... Read More about Quantifying landscape-level methane fluxes in subarctic Finland using a multi-scale approach.

Diatom response to mid-Holocene climate in three small Arctic lakes in northernmost Finnmark (2015)
Journal Article
Roberts, S., Jones, V., Allen, J., & Huntley, B. (2015). Diatom response to mid-Holocene climate in three small Arctic lakes in northernmost Finnmark. Holocene, 25(6), 911-920. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683615572853

Palaeoclimatic reconstructions from lake sediment biological records can be challenging, due to variation in non-climatic factors, which alter ecosystem responses. To consider this, it is important to replicate a study regionally, so as to gain infor... Read More about Diatom response to mid-Holocene climate in three small Arctic lakes in northernmost Finnmark.

Terrestrial biosphere changes over the last 120 kyr and their impact on ocean δ 13C (2015)
Journal Article
Hoogakker, B., Smith, R., Singarayer, J., Marchant, R., Prentice, I., Allen, J., …Tzedakis, C. (2015). Terrestrial biosphere changes over the last 120 kyr and their impact on ocean δ 13C. Climate of the past discussions, 11(2), 1031-1091. https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-11-1031-2015

A new global synthesis and biomization of long (>40 kyr) pollen-data records is presented, and used with simulations from the HadCM3 and FAMOUS climate models to analyse the dynamics of the global terrestrial biosphere and carbon storage over the las... Read More about Terrestrial biosphere changes over the last 120 kyr and their impact on ocean δ 13C.

Assessing species vulnerability to climate change (2015)
Journal Article
Pacifici, M., Foden, W., Visconti, P., Watson, J., Butchart, S., Kovacs, K., …Rondinini, C. (2015). Assessing species vulnerability to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5, 215-225. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2448

The effects of climate change on biodiversity are increasingly well documented, and many methods have been developed to assess species' vulnerability to climatic changes, both ongoing and projected in the coming decades. To minimize global biodiversi... Read More about Assessing species vulnerability to climate change.

Beyond climate envelopes: Bio-climate modelling accords with observed 25-year changes in seabird populations of the British Isles (2015)
Journal Article
Russell, D., Wanless, S., Collingham, Y., Anderson, B., Beale, C., Reid, J., …Hamer, K. (2015). Beyond climate envelopes: Bio-climate modelling accords with observed 25-year changes in seabird populations of the British Isles. Diversity and Distributions, 21(2), 211-222. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12272

Aim Climate envelope models (CEMs) are used to assess species’ vulnerability to predicted changes in climate, based on their distributions. Extinction risk, however, also depends on demographic parameters. Accordingly, we use CEMs for 18 seabird spec... Read More about Beyond climate envelopes: Bio-climate modelling accords with observed 25-year changes in seabird populations of the British Isles.

A meta-database of Holocene sediment cores for England (2015)
Journal Article
Suggitt, A., Jones, R., Caseldine, C., Huntley, B., Stewart, J., Brooks, S., …Maclean, I. (2015). A meta-database of Holocene sediment cores for England. Vegetation History and Archaeobotany, 24(6), 743-747. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00334-015-0515-1

Extracting sediment cores for palaeoecological and archaeological investigations has occurred extensively across England since the early 20th century. Surprisingly, there has been comparatively little collation of these valuable publications and pote... Read More about A meta-database of Holocene sediment cores for England.

Bayesian inference for palaeoclimate with time uncertainty and stochastic volatility (2015)
Journal Article
Parnell, A., Sweeney, J., Doan, T., Salter-Townshend, M., Allen, J., Huntley, B., & Haslett, J. (2015). Bayesian inference for palaeoclimate with time uncertainty and stochastic volatility. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 64(1), 115-138. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12065

We propose and fit a Bayesian model to infer palaeoclimate over several thousand years. The data that we use arise as ancient pollen counts taken from sediment cores together with radiocarbon dates which provide (uncertain) ages. When combined with a... Read More about Bayesian inference for palaeoclimate with time uncertainty and stochastic volatility.