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A Bayesian Statistical Approach to Decision Support for TNO OLYMPUS Well Control Optimisation under Uncertainty (2020)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Owen, J., Vernon, I., & Hammersley, R. (2020). A Bayesian Statistical Approach to Decision Support for TNO OLYMPUS Well Control Optimisation under Uncertainty. . https://doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.202035109

Well control and field development optimisation are tasks of increasing importance within the petroleum industry, as seen by the development of and large participation in the 2018 TNO OLYMPUS Field Development Optimisation Challenge. Complex mathemat... Read More about A Bayesian Statistical Approach to Decision Support for TNO OLYMPUS Well Control Optimisation under Uncertainty.

Accounting for Model Discrepancy in Uncertainty Analysis by Combining Numerical Simulation and Bayesian Emulation Techniques (2020)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Formentin, H. N., Vernon, I., Goldstein, M., Caiado, C., Avansi, G., & Schiozer, D. (2020). Accounting for Model Discrepancy in Uncertainty Analysis by Combining Numerical Simulation and Bayesian Emulation Techniques. . https://doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.202035095

Model discrepancy specifies unavoidable differences between a physical system and its corresponding computer model. Incomplete information, simplifications and lack of knowledge about the physical state originate model discrepancy. Misevaluation of m... Read More about Accounting for Model Discrepancy in Uncertainty Analysis by Combining Numerical Simulation and Bayesian Emulation Techniques.

A Bayesian Optimisation Workflow for Field Development Planning Under Geological Uncertainty (2020)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Bordas, R., Heritage, J., Javed, M., Peacock, G., Taha, T., Ward, P., …Hammersley, R. (2020). A Bayesian Optimisation Workflow for Field Development Planning Under Geological Uncertainty. . https://doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.202035121

Field development planning using reservoir models is a key step in the field development process. Numerical optimisation of specific field development strategies is often used to aid planning. Bayesian Optimisation is a popular optimisation method th... Read More about A Bayesian Optimisation Workflow for Field Development Planning Under Geological Uncertainty.

Efficient Selection of Reservoir Model Outputs within an Emulation-Based Bayesian History Matching Uncertainty Analysis (2020)
Journal Article
Ferreira, C., Vernon, I., Caiado, C., Formentin, H., Avansi, G., Goldstein, M., & Schiozer, D. (2020). Efficient Selection of Reservoir Model Outputs within an Emulation-Based Bayesian History Matching Uncertainty Analysis. SPE Journal, 25(4), 2119-2142. https://doi.org/10.4043/29801-ms

When performing classic uncertainty reduction based on dynamic data, a large number of reservoir simulations need to be evaluated at high computational cost. As an alternative, we construct Bayesian emulators that mimic the dominant behaviour of the... Read More about Efficient Selection of Reservoir Model Outputs within an Emulation-Based Bayesian History Matching Uncertainty Analysis.

Understanding hormonal crosstalk in Arabidopsis root development via emulation and history matching (2020)
Journal Article
Jackson, S., Vernon, I., Liu, J., & Lindsey, K. (2020). Understanding hormonal crosstalk in Arabidopsis root development via emulation and history matching. Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, 19(2), Article 20180053. https://doi.org/10.1515/sagmb-2018-0053

A major challenge in plant developmental biology is to understand how plant growth is coordinated by interacting hormones and genes. To meet this challenge, it is important to not only use experimental data, but also formulate a mathematical model. F... Read More about Understanding hormonal crosstalk in Arabidopsis root development via emulation and history matching.