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Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?

Qureshi, Anum; Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail; Ahmad, Ghufran; Ashraf, Dawood

Authors

Anum Qureshi

Ghufran Ahmad

Dawood Ashraf



Abstract

The Russia–Ukraine conflict has increased systemic vulnerabilities of the global financial system. We develop a database of news events and investigate the systemic risk implications of the conflict on Russia, Ukraine, France, Germany, Italy, the UK, the USA, and China. Results show that systemic instability costs of the conflict go beyond Russia and Ukraine. Sanctions cause systemic risk spillovers to European countries and the USA. Study findings caution against the accumulation of systemic risk as sanctions may adversely affect the rest of the world aside from the main target - Russia.

Citation

Qureshi, A., Rizwan, M. S., Ahmad, G., & Ashraf, D. (2022). Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?. Finance Research Letters, 48, Article 103036. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103036

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Jun 1, 2022
Online Publication Date Jun 2, 2022
Publication Date Aug 1, 2022
Deposit Date Apr 23, 2025
Journal Finance Research Letters
Print ISSN 1544-6123
Electronic ISSN 1544-6131
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 48
Article Number 103036
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103036
Public URL https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/3797207