All Outputs (4)

Le nouveau marché du risque de longévité. (2016)
Journal Article
Blake, D., Cairns, A., Coughlan, G., Dowd, K., & MacMinn, R. (2016). Le nouveau marché du risque de longévité. https://doi.org/10.3917/ecofi.122.0129

L'impact considérable du risque de longévité sur le plan économique pour les entreprises, les gouvernements et les individus commence à être reconnu et quantifié. En raison de son ampleur et de sa prévalence, l'exposition au risque de longévité const... Read More about Le nouveau marché du risque de longévité..

The Myth of Methusalah and the Uncertainty of Death: The Mortality Fan Charts (2016)
Journal Article
Dowd, K., Blake, D., & Cairns, A. (2016). The Myth of Methusalah and the Uncertainty of Death: The Mortality Fan Charts. Risks, 4(3), Article 21. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks4030021

This paper uses mortality fan charts to illustrate prospective future male mortality. These fan charts show both the most likely path of male mortality and the bands of uncertainty surrounding that path. The fan charts are based on a model of male mo... Read More about The Myth of Methusalah and the Uncertainty of Death: The Mortality Fan Charts.

Learning the Right Lessons from the Financial Crisis (2016)
Journal Article
Dowd, K., & Hutchinson, M. (2016). Learning the Right Lessons from the Financial Crisis. The Cato journal, 36(2), 393-413

Phantoms never die: living with unreliable population data (2016)
Journal Article
Cairns, A., Blake, D., Dowd, K., & Kessler, A. (2016). Phantoms never die: living with unreliable population data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 179(4), 975-1005. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12159

The analysis of national mortality trends is critically dependent on the quality of the population, exposures and deaths data that underpin death rates. We develop a framework that allows us to assess data reliability and to identify anomalies, illus... Read More about Phantoms never die: living with unreliable population data.