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Bayesian Emulation for Computer Models with Multiple Partial Discontinuities (2024)
Journal Article
Vernon, I., Owen, J., & Carter, J. (online). Bayesian Emulation for Computer Models with Multiple Partial Discontinuities. Bayesian Analysis, https://doi.org/10.1214/24-BA1456

Computer models are widely used across a range of scientific disciplines to describe various complex physical systems, however to perform full uncertainty quantification we often need to employ emulators. An emulator is a fast statistical construct t... Read More about Bayesian Emulation for Computer Models with Multiple Partial Discontinuities.

Bayesian Emulation and History Matching of JUNE (2022)
Journal Article
Vernon, I., Owen, J., Aylett-Bullock, J., Cuestra-Lazaro, C., Frawley, J., Quera-Bofarull, A., …Krauss, F. (2022). Bayesian Emulation and History Matching of JUNE. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 380(2233), Article 20220039. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0039

We analyse JUNE: a detailed model of Covid-19 transmission with high spatial and demographic resolution, developed as part of the RAMP initiative. JUNE requires substantial computational resources to evaluate, making model calibration and general unc... Read More about Bayesian Emulation and History Matching of JUNE.

A Bayesian Statistical Approach to Decision Support for TNO OLYMPUS Well Control Optimisation under Uncertainty (2020)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Owen, J., Vernon, I., & Hammersley, R. (2020). A Bayesian Statistical Approach to Decision Support for TNO OLYMPUS Well Control Optimisation under Uncertainty. . https://doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.202035109

Well control and field development optimisation are tasks of increasing importance within the petroleum industry, as seen by the development of and large participation in the 2018 TNO OLYMPUS Field Development Optimisation Challenge. Complex mathemat... Read More about A Bayesian Statistical Approach to Decision Support for TNO OLYMPUS Well Control Optimisation under Uncertainty.