Outputs (4)

Modular Dynamic Emulation and Internal Model Discrepancy for a Rainfall Runoff Model (2010)
Report
Vernon, I., Seheult, A., & Goldstein, M. (2010). Modular Dynamic Emulation and Internal Model Discrepancy for a Rainfall Runoff Model. MUCM

We construct a simple modular dynamic emulator for a rainfall runoff model. We investigate the accuracy of such an emulator and discuss the difficulties of such an approach. The emulator is used to investigate the effects of certain internal uncertai... Read More about Modular Dynamic Emulation and Internal Model Discrepancy for a Rainfall Runoff Model.

A Bayes Linear Approach to Systems Biology (2010)
Report
Vernon, I. R., & Goldstein, M. (2010). A Bayes Linear Approach to Systems Biology. MUCM

As post-genomic biology becomes more predictive, the inference of rate parameters that feature in both genetic and biochemical networks becomes increasingly important. Here we present a novel methodology for inference of such parameters in the case o... Read More about A Bayes Linear Approach to Systems Biology.

Exchangeable Computer Models (2009)
Report
House, L., Goldstein, M., & Vernon, I. (2009). Exchangeable Computer Models. MUCM

Analysts often use deterministic computer models to predict the behavior of com- plex physical systems when observational data are limited. However, inferences based partially or entirely on simulated data require adequate assessments of model uncer-... Read More about Exchangeable Computer Models.

Galaxy Formation: a Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis (2009)
Report
Vernon, I., Goldstein, M., & Bower, R. G. (2009). Galaxy Formation: a Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis. MUCM

In many scientific disciplines complex computer models are used to understand the behaviour of large scale physical systems. An uncertainty analysis of such a computer model known as Galform is presented. Galform models the creation and evolution of... Read More about Galaxy Formation: a Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis.