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Fathoming empirical forecasting competitions’ winners (2022)
Journal Article
Alroomi, A., Karamatzanis, G., Nikolopoulos, K., Tilba, A., & Xiao, S. (2022). Fathoming empirical forecasting competitions’ winners. International Journal of Forecasting, 38(4), 1519-1525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.03.010

The M5 forecasting competition has provided strong empirical evidence that machine learning methods can outperform statistical methods: in essence, complex methods can be more accurate than simple ones. This result, be as it may, challenges the flags... Read More about Fathoming empirical forecasting competitions’ winners.