Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?
(2011)
Journal Article
Bolger, F., Stranieri, A., Wright, G., & Yearwood, J. (2011). Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(9), 1671-1680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.002
All Outputs (2)
Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from Social Psychological Research (2011)
Journal Article
Bolger, F., & Wright, G. (2011). Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from Social Psychological Research. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(9), 1500-1513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.007The Delphi technique was largely developed to avoid the problems of freely interacting groups such as dominant individuals and pressure to conform to the majority view. Our review of the Social Psychological literature reveals some obstacles to Delph... Read More about Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from Social Psychological Research.