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Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment

Coulon, Violaine; Bulthuis, Kevin; Whitehouse, Pippa L.; Sun, Sainan; Haubner, Konstanze; Zipf, Lars; Pattyn, Frank

Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment Thumbnail


Authors

Violaine Coulon

Kevin Bulthuis

Sainan Sun

Konstanze Haubner

Lars Zipf

Frank Pattyn



Abstract

The Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) lies on a solid Earth that displays large spatial variations in rheological properties, with a thin lithosphere and low-viscosity upper mantle (weak Earth structure) beneath West Antarctica and an opposing structure beneath East Antarctica. This contrast is known to have a significant impact on the ice-sheet grounding-line stability. Here, we embed within an ice-sheet model a modified glacial-isostatic Elastic Lithosphere-Relaxing Asthenosphere model that considers a dual pattern for the Earth structure beneath West and East Antarctica supplemented with an approximation of gravitationally consistent geoid changes, allowing to approximate near-field relative sea-level changes. We show that this elementary GIA model captures the essence of global Self-Gravitating Viscoelastic solid-Earth Models (SGVEMs) and compares well with both SGVEM outputs and geodetic observations, allowing to capture the essential features and processes influencing Antarctic grounding-line stability in a computationally efficient way. In this framework, we perform a probabilistic assessment of the impact of uncertainties in solid-Earth rheological properties on the response of the AIS to future warming. Results show that on multicentennial-to-millennial timescales, spatial variability in solid-Earth deformation plays a significant role in promoting the stability of the West Antarctic ice sheet (WAIS). However, WAIS collapse cannot be prevented under high-emissions climate scenarios. On longer timescales and for unmitigated climate scenarios, continent-wide mass loss projections may be underestimated because spatially uniform Earth models, as typically considered in numerical ice sheet models, will overestimate the stabilizing effect of GIA across East Antarctica, which is characterized by thick lithosphere and high upper-mantle viscosity.

Citation

Coulon, V., Bulthuis, K., Whitehouse, P. L., Sun, S., Haubner, K., Zipf, L., & Pattyn, F. (2021). Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 126(7), Article e2020JF006003. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020jf006003

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Jun 1, 2021
Online Publication Date Jun 18, 2021
Publication Date Jul 9, 2021
Deposit Date Aug 17, 2021
Publicly Available Date Aug 18, 2021
Journal Journal of geophysical research. Earth surface.
Print ISSN 2169-9011
Electronic ISSN 2169-9011
Publisher American Geophysical Union
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 126
Issue 7
Article Number e2020JF006003
DOI https://doi.org/10.1029/2020jf006003
Public URL https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1242751

Files

Published Journal Article (4 Mb)
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Publisher Licence URL
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Copyright Statement
© 2021. The Authors.

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.






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